Jaromír Tonner, PhD

Jaromír Toner

Mgr. Jaromír Tonner, Ph.D. et Ph.D.

Jaromír is a researcher and forecaster with extensive experience in using of models in practice as well as in team management. During his career, he developed a range of models (macroeconomic models, econometric models) and used them for analytical and forecasting purposes (Czech National Bank, International Monetary Fund, European Central Bank, Masaryk University, J.E. Purkyně University). He actively programs in R, Matlab, Python, VBA, SQL. He also led prediction teams focused on baseline and forecast scenarios for the Czech National Bank, participated in many research projects and foreign technical assistance. In the future, he would like to continue to develop his analytical and programming skills in the aforementioned programming environments as part of interesting projects (either purely research or applied in practice).

Qualification.

PhD

Masaryk University, Economics, 2011

Brno University of Technology, Mathematics, 2011

Master´s Degree

Masaryk University, Faculty of Science, Mathematics and Economics, 2004

Experience.

2024–present, European Research University, Research Fellow (part-time)

2019–present, International Monetary Fund, Research Fellow

2023, Faculty of Social and Economic Studies, Jan Evangelista Purkyně University in Ústí nad Labem, Research Fellow

2016–2017, European Central Bank, Economist

2008–2022, Czech National Bank, Economist

2004–2023, Masaryk University, Research Fellow

Publications (last 5 years, selected).

TONNER, J. Current trends in macroeconomic modelling in central banks in light of the turbulent nature of recent events. CNB GEO 7/2022. gev_2022_07_en.pdf.

BABECKÁ KUCHARČUKOVÁ, O., BRŮHA, J., KRÁL, P., MOTL, M., TONNER, J. Assessment of the Nature of the Pandemic Shock: Implications for Monetary Policy. CNB RPN 1/2022. rpn_1_2022.pdf.

MOTL, M., TONNER, J. Modelling the impacts of climate change on the global economy: Stagflationary shock looming. CNB GEO 9/2021. gev_2021_09_en.pdf.

BRŮHA, J., MOTL, M., TONNER, J. Assessment of the impacts of the pandemic on the world's major economies: A crisis of supply or demand?. CNB GEO 5/2021. gev_2021_05_en.pdf.

BRÁZDIK, F., HLÉDIK, T., HUMPLOVÁ, Z., MARTONOSI, I., MUSIL, K., RYŠÁNEK, J., ŠESTOŘÁD, T., TONNER, J., TVRZ, S., ŽÁČEK, J. The g3+ Model: An Upgrade of the Czech National Bank’s Core Forecasting Framework. CNB WP 7/2020. cnbwp_2020_07.pdf.

Hobbies.

Cycling, Swimming, Travelling